NCAA Tournament March Madness

#149 Montana St

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Projected seed: 15 (automatic qualifier)

That projection makes sense because Montana State has shown it can compete with power conference opponents on the road, with tight losses at Colorado, Stanford, Boise State, Utah State and Oregon State, and it picked up a resume-building road win at Long Beach State and key home wins over Montana and Weber State. Those competitive outings are the team’s best moments but they are offset by damaging defeats at Denver and Cal Poly and a nonconference setback at Oral Roberts that leave the profile short on signature neutral-site victories. The bulk of the resume is conference play where Montana State has dominated at home and split with several league rivals, so the remaining run of road games at Sacramento State and Portland State along with a road trip to Montana and home dates with Idaho and Eastern Washington are the clearest paths to add quality wins. Because the résumé combines promising performances against good teams with a handful of resume-wrecking results, the sensible outcome is a low seed that would only be safe with a conference title.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Colorado81L84-78
11/9Denver267L75-73
11/12@Stanford79L77-68
11/15@Boise St62L62-58
11/21@Long Beach St234W78-72
11/29@Utah St32L84-81
12/3St Thomas MN128W82-74
12/6@Oral Roberts327L72-68
12/13@Oregon St221L67-57
12/16@Cal Poly268W83-80
1/1N Colorado188W89-75
1/3Northern Arizona314W77-68
1/8@E Washington232W68-64
1/10@Idaho194L92-89
1/17Montana151W76-67
1/19@N Colorado188W73-68
1/22Idaho St214W74-62
1/24Weber St202W91-88
1/29@CS Sacramento28367%
1/31@Portland St15340%
2/5Idaho19470%
2/7E Washington23276%
2/14@Montana15139%
2/19@Weber St20251%
2/21@Idaho St21452%
2/26Portland St15362%
2/28CS Sacramento28384%
3/2@Northern Arizona31475%