NCAA Tournament March Madness

#156 Montana St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projected seed: 13 (automatic qualifier)

Montana State’s résumé is built on competitive showings against higher-profile opponents but marred by a damaging home stumble and a lack of signature neutral-site wins. Tight losses at Colorado, Stanford, Boise State and Utah State demonstrate the team can travel and hang with quality programs, and the road victory at Long Beach State stands out as a resume-builder, yet the loss to Denver at home undercuts that narrative and keeps the profile from feeling secure. Most of the wins have come against mid-major or conference-level opposition such as Northern Arizona, Cal Poly and St. Thomas, which help the win total but do little to offset the bad home result. The remaining Big Sky slate offers both home chances against Montana and Idaho and true road tests at places like Weber State, Northern Arizona and Portland State, so the path to firming up the resume is straightforward: add at least one eye-catching road or neutral victory and avoid any more avoidable blemishes.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Colorado80L84-78
11/9Denver246L75-73
11/12@Stanford82L77-68
11/15@Boise St50L62-58
11/21@Long Beach St240W78-72
11/29@Utah St30L84-81
12/3St Thomas MN140W82-74
12/6@Oral Roberts293L72-68
12/13@Oregon St208L67-57
12/16@Cal Poly237W83-80
1/1N Colorado170W89-75
1/3Northern Arizona292W77-68
1/8@E Washington24558%
1/10@Idaho19046%
1/17Montana18667%
1/19@N Colorado17041%
1/22Idaho St17464%
1/24Weber St21671%
1/29@CS Sacramento28865%
1/31@Portland St16641%
2/5Idaho19068%
2/7E Washington24577%
2/14@Montana18646%
2/19@Weber St21650%
2/21@Idaho St17442%
2/26Portland St16663%
2/28CS Sacramento28883%
3/2@Northern Arizona29266%